Dan Martin vs Mikael Arseneault Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When examining second serve performance, Martin leads slightly with 43.18% of points won, compared to Arseneault's 42.81%. Can this give Martin an edge? The difference is marginal.
• Arseneault excels in returning their opponent's serves, capturing 48.39% of second serve points compared to Martin’s 46.09%. Additionally, Arseneault outperforms on first serve returns at 29.18% over Martin’s 24.89%.
• Under pressure, Martin manages to save 56.31% of breakpoints, surpassing Arseneault's 49.02% success rate. Could this resilience be a game-changer?
• Over the past year, Arseneault has a slightly higher match win rate at 55.56%, while Martin has 53.52%.
• Arseneault performs significantly better on hard courts with a 71% win rate, whereas Martin favors clay surfaces, winning 58% of matches there.
• In terms of tournament level, Arseneault and Martin have similarly participated in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K. Arseneault has a better winning percentage at 57.58% compared to Martin’s 51.79%.
• Historically, Arseneault leads their head-to-head encounters, winning their only previous match decisively.
• The average opponent rank faced by Arseneault (221.28) is substantially lower than Martin’s (385.51), suggesting that Arseneault has been exposed to tougher competition.
• If a match reaches a deciding set, Martin has a slight edge, winning 42% compared to Arseneault’s 40% in recent matches.
• Martin has a better break point conversion rate at 29.89% in recent form, compared to Arseneault's 25%.

Editorial Prediction (May 8, 2025, UTC):

With both players showing strengths in different areas, Arseneault stands out in return games, particularly against the first serve. This advantage could prove decisive in breaking Martin's serve. However, Martin's ability to save breakpoints under pressure might mitigate this threat.

The head-to-head history favors Arseneault, who won their only previous meeting. This, combined with Arseneault's exposure to tougher opponents and better overall win percentage, suggests an edge over Martin.

Despite Martin's higher breakpoint conversion rate, Arseneault's superior performance on hard courts and against higher-ranked opponents provides strong evidence for his potential victory.

Considering these factors, Arseneault is the most likely candidate to win the upcoming tennis match.